meantime just a few hours to go, still no deal on the fiscal cliff. how are the markets going to be impacted heading into the new year? head of research joining us from new york, andrew, happy new year to you. all kinds of predictions because there's this big blob of uncertainty facing us in the near term. overall, what's your sense for how the next year goes? >> our major message to clients is that we expect equities to be up between 5% and 10% next year. the first quarter probably will be a little bit choppy with fiscal policy uncertainty, but having said that, earnings will grow, china market is much better, u.s. residential housing is in good shape. so we expect stocks to be higher 12 months from thousand. >> you think the market trade is cheap cyclicals.thousand. >> you think the market trade is cheap cyclicals. explain the logic. >> it's very clear that the u.s. housing market is in much better shape, so there are industrial stocks stanley works as an example that should be growing through the year almost regardless of whether the fiscal cliff g